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Future Outlook, Growth & Opportunities In Indian EV Market

Introduction

Making environmentally responsible decisions and averting climate change are crucial in light of the escalating global warming. One such eco-friendly option is an electric vehicle (EV). The global automotive industry is undergoing radical changes as it strives to switch to alternate,less energy-intensive solutions. The rise in oil import prices, increasing pollution, and worldwide pledges to combat global climate change are some of the main reasons behind India's recent actions to quicken the switch to e-mobility. 

Moreover, at the Conference of the Parties 26 (COP26) Summit, India vowed to work toward the aspirational goal of having at least 30% of private vehicles be electric by 2030.

Outlook & Facts of Global & Indian EV market

The global market for electric vehicles (EVs) is expanding quickly. According to EV volumes, with 6.75 million vehicles on the road, the overall global percentage of electric vehicles—which includes battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)—rose to 8.3% in 2021 from 4.2% in 2020. By 2020, there will have been a 108% growth. As they aid in lowering pollution and resource depletion, EVs are gaining popularity all over the world. The Indian EV market is likewise developing quickly; in 2021, close to 0.32 million vehicles were sold, a 168% YoY increase. The ongoing use of electric vehicles in India is supported by the Paris Agreement's goals to lower carbon emissions, enhance the quality of the air in cities, and decrease oil imports.


The COVID-19 pandemic outbreak resulted in a large overall decline in automotive sales in 2020 for both passenger and commercial vehicles. However, there was no change in the amount of electric vehicle sales in India. The post-lockdown sales of pure and hybrid electric vehicles were a significant factor driving the electric vehicle market in India.


The automotive sector in India is worth about $222 billion, and by 2023 and 2025, the country's EV market is expected to reach $2 billion and $7.09 billion in sales, respectively. In addition, 8% of all national exports come from the automotive sector. 40% of the $31 billion in global R&D expenditures [Research and Development (R&D wing)] are made up of this industry. As of August 2022, there were 13, 92,265 electric vehicles (EVs) on Indian roads (data by Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, India). This will probably increase by 45–50 Mn EVs on the road by 2030.


According to a report by the India Energy Storage Alliance (IESA), the country's EV industry is anticipated to develop at a CAGR of 49% between 2021 and 2030 and achieve annual sales of 17 million units, with about 15 million of those predicted to be electric two-wheelers. Electric 2Ws account for 50% of yearly EV sales in India, followed by low-speed e-3Ws, according to the IESA's 2021 India Electric Vehicle and Component Market Overview Report 2021-2030. 2.2 lakh 2Ws, 2.1 lakh 3Ws, 14,000 4Ws, and 1,200 buses made up the majority of the 467,000 electric vehicles (EVs) sold in India annually in 2021. Lithium-ion battery demand in the nation surpassed the 1 GWh mark for the first time in 2021.

Key Growth Drivers of Indian EV Industry

The Indian government has always been in the forefront of developing national EV adoption strategies. The following list of government initiatives to promote EV adoption includes a few of them:


The FAME scheme : In order to encourage the development and early use of hybrid and electric vehicles in the nation, the FAME India Scheme: Faster Adoption & Manufacturing of (Hybrid &) Electric Vehicles was introduced in 2015. With a budget of US$ 1.3 billion (Rs. 10,000 crore), the FAME-II scheme was introduced in India to support 1 million e-two-wheelers, 0.5 million e-three-wheelers, 55,000 e-passenger vehicles, and 7,000 e-buses. The scheme was extended by the government until 2024, as stated in the Union Budget 2022–2023.


Battery Swapping Policy: Adoption of EVs depends on the availability of a widespread charging infrastructure. The NITI Aayog published a proposed battery swapping policy in this regard on April 22, 2022, and it will be in effect until March 31, 2025. All metropolitan areas with a population of more than four million will be covered by the policy, which will be implemented over a period of one to two years from the moment it is introduced. All UTs and significant cities with a population of more than 5,000 will be included in the second phase, which will be implemented over the course of two to three years after the policy's launch.


PLI Scheme : The government launched the PLI-ACC (Production Linked Incentive for Advanced Chemistry Cell Battery Storage) scheme. The programme is anticipated to strengthen India's battery infrastructure. According to the Union Budget, the scheme's entire outlay is US$ 2.45 billion (Rs 18,100 crore), which will be distributed to beneficiaries over the course of five years once the manufacturing facility is established.



Various other incentives:

● Section 80EEB of the income tax allows for a tax exemption of up to Rs. 1,50,000 (US$ 1,960) when financing the purchase of an EV (2W or 4W). 

● Customs taxes on nickel ore, a crucial component of lithium-ion batteries, are being reduced from 5% to 0%. 

● Road tax reductions and other incentives at the state level.


Business Opportunities 


The Indian government's push for electric vehicles creates a wide range of economic prospects in the infrastructure, energy, and mobility sectors. Among them are possibilities in the EV OEM market, battery infrastructure, solar car charging, battery swapping technology, and many more areas. NITI Aayog estimates that a total investment of US$ 267 billion (Rs. 19.7 lakh crore) in EVs, battery infrastructure, and charging infrastructure is needed to make the full transition to EVs.

The Indian government and the automotive industry have common objectives, which are encapsulated in the Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2016–26. In accordance with the AMP 2016-26, the sector is anticipated to contribute more than 12% of the country's GDP, of which 7.1% has been reached thus far. It hopes to make up 40% or more of the manufacturing sector by the end of 2026. If these goals are reached, both India's automotive industry and country would transform. 


A crucial additional aspect is that the country's internal lithium-ion battery production ambitions may reduce the price of EVs, lowering dependence and perturbing import taxes. India will therefore soon have a sizable market. Adding to this, the Ministry of Skill Development and Entrepreneurship (MSDE) estimates that by 2030, the EV sector might add 10 million direct jobs, which would result in 50 million indirect jobs.


The auto sector in India has had substantial growth and is predicted to continue growing rapidly. The pandemic has spurred a need for products that lower pollution levels, and EVs are a remarkable method to do this, in terms of how the market is performing. Electric vehicles have a great deal of potential to lessen our carbon footprint and offer a sustainable and cost effective means of transportation. Purchasing an electric vehicle is the only way to support this expansion and to save the earth’s environment.

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